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Now, This can be dropping, presumably since the drinking water driving the flood front has better and better h2o Lower after some time, as well as water dealing with services are limited. If we extrapolate out the orange line to these days, only fifty five% of manufacturing could well be coming from guiding the flood entrance.
This is from the numerical simulation of the event in the reservoir after a while. Nevertheless, Saudi Aramco record-matches their reservoir products with comprehensive quantities of very well log data, so it might be a fairly exact image of your historical past of the sphere. The variable becoming plotted is water saturation - that is definitely The share on the pore quantity inside the rock that's filled with h2o, instead of oil. In Ghawar, the reservoir stress continues to be preserved this kind of that there's no gas cap (the gas is dissolved during the oil), and Hence the pores are full of oil, h2o, or a mix.
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I see that Cambridge Power Investigation Associates carries on to possess a radically distinctive see of foreseeable future (2015) oil supply:
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To ensure that implies that the difference between the crimson areas (20% drinking water saturation) while in the simulation photo higher than and the green regions (sixty% h2o saturation) can be very large.
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